Our Research Network

Regional and Global Geopolitics

Regional rivalries, shifting alliances and external competition increasingly shape the East and Horn of Africa. Yet regional actors are not passive: they negotiate, resist and use international engagement to advance their interests.

• Major-power competition
• Red Sea
• Gulf policies

Peace, Conflict and Political Settlements

Conflict reflects more than military competition. Contested authority, political exclusion, unresolved centre–periphery relations and competition over power and resources often sustain violence long after its immediate causes have changed.

• Political settlements
• Federalism
• Peacebuilding

Security, Environment and Climate Change

Armed conflict, institutional fragility and environmental pressures increasingly intersect across the region. Their consequences depend on governance, resource access and the capacity of institutions and communities to respond.

• Insurgency
• Maritime security
• Climate change

Local Development, Governance and Resilience

Development outcomes depend on more than resources and technical capacity. Political authority, institutional incentives and unequal access to opportunities shape how policies affect communities.

• Local governance
• Displacement
• Resilience

Regional Integration and Geoeconomics

The East and Horn of Africa are increasingly exposed to global economic developments through trade, energy, transport, finance and strategic infrastructure.

• Regional integration
• Trade corridors
• Energy

Strategic Foresight and Regional Crisis Analysis

Crises are shaped by political choices, changing capabilities and institutional constraints. Their trajectories are neither fixed nor adequately explained by immediate events alone.

• Scenarios
• Early warning
• Crisis analysis